Coronavirus peaks: When each county is estimated to see its max virus-related hospitalizations


HARTFORD, Conn. (WTNH) — During his daily briefing on Friday, Governor Ned Lamont said he wants to government to start considering the state as a hot spot.

“My biggest concern is that the federal government doesn’t think of Southern Connecticut as part of the whole New York City pandemic. New York City, Jersey City and Southern Connecticut are all part of the same regional hot spot. New York has gotten a lot of the PPE and obviously, our overall numbers make us look like we’re a lot less, but actually, as a region, we’re the fourth most infected state in the country. So my worry is, we’ve got plenty of capacity. I think in our hospitals and people but what we don’t have are the ventilators and that’s going to cause a lot of death.”

Friday marked one month since a hospital worker tested positive for COVID-19 and officials fear the worst is yet to come.

Lamont believes he and state health officials have mapped out what peak coronavirus hospitalizations will look like for each county.

He said the peaks are estimated if residents maintain proper social distancing.

Below is are four major county breakdowns:

Fairfield County: Mid-April

New Haven County: Early May (May 10)

Hartford County: Mid-May (May 24)

Eastern counties: Mid-May 

The governor said the apex of each peak should be less and less for each county; however, he did not mention the numbers of hospitalizations there would be.

“Southwest Connecticut was the first, they had the most activity,” said Dr. Matthew Cartter, Connecticut Department of Public Health. “We are now starting to see it in New Haven and then Hartford County, and that’s why the different waves were presented.”

Lamont said with New Haven County following about two weeks behind Fairfield County — the two most prominent peaks — it gives officials a way to divvy up resources.

“You’ll see that gives us a little bit of planning room in terms of how we allocate resources between hospitals,” he said while explaining the graph.

Estimates also suggest that the state will need 12,000 beds for COVID-19 patients, as well as 4,000 ventilators. So far, the state only has 1,000 machines and added another 50 from the national stockpile, which is now empty.

“And obviously, the toughest one to be able to thread that needle is with the ventilators,” Lamont said. “Again, I think you see some ways that we can mitigate that effect as well, so I am really confident at working together and working with the hospitals across the state of Connecticut we are in as good a position as we can be.”

Lamont had 15-minute tests sent to Connecticut. It will help healthcare workers get results more quickly.

“Fifteen minutes is exactly what the hospitals need, because they can make a diagnosis quickly they don’t have to wait a day or two before they find out,” said Cartter.

As of Friday, April 3, 20,015 people have been tested for the virus; 4,914 of those tests have come back positive, with 909 being hospitalized. There have been 131 deaths.

For more information on testing in the state, visit the state’s website.

Copyright 2020 Nexstar Broadcasting, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

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