Model predicts coronavirus to peak in CT during second week of April

Coronavirus

HARTFORD, Conn. (WTNH)– There is new insight into when we will see the worst of coronavirus in Connecticut.

The latest statistics now on the coronavirus outbreak in Connecticut as of Friday, is that 1,291 people have Covid-19 and 27 people have died from this virus.

Related: 27 dead of coronavirus in CT, 1,291 cases confirmed

Just to give a bit of a timeline, exactly three weeks ago Connecticut saw its first Covid-19 infection. Fifteen percent of the 1,900 tests done in the past 24 hours have turned up positive.

The governor updated a lot of different things in a press conference Friday, including the numbers. The most disturbing number is that hospitalizations are up to 173 people at this time.

However, what stuck out the most was the fact that they now have a model that they think might be close or accurate to when this might peak.

Covid-19 might be scheduled to peak somewhere around the second week in April.

“Much of the best thinking today is that we are looking at the middle of April as being the possible time we have the highest surge here in Connecticut,” said Jeffrey Flaks, CEO Hartford HealthCare.

It’s worth repeating we could hit the peak in the next three weeks, but there are other models out there that are not so optimistic. Only time will tell. Either way Hartford HealthCare says they are preparing for worst case scenario.

“The key for us is to make sure we have the right facilities and the right staff and the right equipment in place at the time the demand surges to the highest level, so that’s why modeling is so critical,” said Flaks.

So what is this going to look like for the men and women on the front line and the hospital workers around the state? Right now some of the workers that News 8 has been talking to have not been home in three weeks.

It was three weeks ago Friday when they announced the first positive test of an employee at Danbury Hospital, now they’re saying it’s going to be a lot longer than they thought.

“My wife and two kids are the best thing forever for me, and my wife has basically been by herself for the last three weeks,” said Keith Grant, MSN Hartford HealthCare.

The healthcare workers appreciate the support. The signs of love and gratefulness from the community go a long way.

“Call people who work in healthcare, who are going into the crisis, so it’s incredible, and we are more than up to the challenge. We have respect and gratitude for all of our staff who are doing this for our community, it’s amazing!” said Flaks.

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